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Poll suggests Brazil’s Bolsonaro would beat Lula by one point in a runoff

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SAO PAULO, Sept ‌8 (Reuters) - A Nexus poll commissioned by BTG ​Pactual on Tuesday showed for the first time Brazilian right-wing Senator ⁠Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in a simulated second-round runoff for next ​month's election, though they remain locked in a so-called technical tie.

• ‌If there was a runoff, the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro would receive 46% of voter support compared ⁠with 45% for Lula, the poll said.

• ⁠An August 31 poll had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 46% to 45%.

• The result marked Bolsonaro's strongest showing since Nexus began tracking the race in late March, when ‌the two were tied 46%-46%.

• In a first-round scenario, Lula ⁠would lead with 39% of the ‌votes, followed by Bolsonaro (35%), Augusto Cury (9%), ​Ronaldo Caiado (4%) and Renan Santos (4%), the poll said.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes ‌in the first round, the two frontrunners ​advance to a runoff.

• ⁠Nexus surveyed 2,002 people from September 4 to ‌7.

• The poll has ⁠a margin of error of 2 percentage points -- greater than the expected difference between the candidates in the second round, ​a statistical tie.

• ‌First-round voting is scheduled for October 4, while a second-round ⁠runoff would be held on ​October 25.

(Reporting by Michael Susin in Barcelona and Gabriel ​Araujo in Sao Paulo)

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