HomeEconomic IndicatorLula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in potential Brazil runoff, polls suggest

Lula and Bolsonaro statistically tied in potential Brazil runoff, polls suggest

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SAO PAULO, Sept 21 (Reuters) - ‌Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio ​Bolsonaro remain statistically tied in simulated runoffs ahead of next month's election, two polls showed ⁠on Monday.

Bolsonaro leads Lula by one percentage point in a Quaest poll, while Lula is ahead by one point in a separate BTG Pactual/Nexus poll. They ​remain statistically tied since the advantages are within the margin of error.

QUAEST POLL

• Bolsonaro, son of ‌the former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 42% of voter support in a potential runoff, against 41% for Lula, a Quaest poll showed late afternoon.

• The previous Quaest ⁠poll, released on September 14, showed Bolsonaro at 42% and ⁠Lula at 40%.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff on October 25.

• In a first-round scenario, Quaest had Lula leading with 37% of ‌the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (33%), Cury (6%) and Caiado (4%).

• Last week, the poll showed ⁠Lula at 36% and Bolsonaro at 31% in the ‌first round.

• Quaest surveyed 2,004 people from September ​17 to 20; the margin of error is 2 percentage points.

BTG PACTUAL/NEXUS POLL

• Lula would receive 46% of voter support, compared with 45% for Bolsonaro in ‌a potential runoff, a BTG Pactual/Nexus poll showed earlier ​in the day.

• A September 14 ⁠survey had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 47% to 46%.

• In ‌a first-round scenario, Lula would lead with ⁠40% of the votes, followed by Bolsonaro (37%), Augusto Cury (6%) and Ronaldo Caiado (5%).

• The previous first-round survey had Lula at 42% and Bolsonaro at 37%.

• Nexus surveyed 2,006 ​people from September 18 to ‌20. The poll also has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

(Reporting by ⁠Rodrigo Viga Gaier in Rio de ​Janeiro, Michael Susin in Barcelona and Gabriel Araujo and Andre Romani in ​Sao Paulo; Editing by Isabel Teles)

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